Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000087 0.000096 0.000106 0.000118 0.000130 0.000144 0.000160
2026-01-04 0.000074 0.000086 0.000101 0.000118 0.000139 0.000162 0.000191
2026-01-11 0.000064 0.000078 0.000096 0.000118 0.000145 0.000179 0.000222
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000151 0.000194 0.000252
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000066 0.000087 0.000116 0.000156 0.000208 0.000283
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084 0.000116 0.000161 0.000224 0.000317
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000057 0.000080 0.000114 0.000164 0.000236 0.000346
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000053 0.000077 0.000113 0.000169 0.000249 0.000378
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000050 0.000075 0.000114 0.000174 0.000265 0.000414
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000047 0.000072 0.000112 0.000177 0.000276 0.000446
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000183 0.000294 0.000488
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000043 0.000069 0.000113 0.000187 0.000309 0.000527
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000041 0.000067 0.000112 0.000191 0.000322 0.000565
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000040 0.000066 0.000114 0.000198 0.000343 0.000619
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000114 0.000203 0.000361 0.000669
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000114 0.000207 0.000377 0.000716
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000113 0.000211 0.000392 0.000764
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000034 0.000061 0.000113 0.000215 0.000409 0.000817
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000111 0.000216 0.000421 0.000860
2026-05-10 0.000016 0.000031 0.000057 0.000111 0.000220 0.000435 0.000911
2026-05-17 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000111 0.000224 0.000454 0.000971
2026-05-24 0.000014 0.000028 0.000054 0.000110 0.000226 0.000466 0.001020
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000027 0.000054 0.000111 0.000232 0.000489 0.001093